Operational and financial highlights
The financial performance of the US business in the period reflects the impact of the execution of the first steps of its strategic diversification together with the varying financial effects of strong US equity market performance and lower interest rates in the period. We have decided to adopt early as at 31 Dec 2019 the new National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) capital rules related to variable annuities and have made consequential updates to our EEV basis results. All of the results below reflect the whole US segment, except for the discussion on local statutory capital which covers Jackson National Life only.
|
2019 $m |
2018 $m |
Change % |
Variable annuities |
1,270 |
1,443 |
>(12) |
Elite Access (variable annuity) |
200 |
225 |
(11) |
Fixed annuities |
119 |
46 |
159 |
Fixed index annuities |
382 |
33 |
1,058 |
Wholesale |
252 |
312 |
(19) |
Total APE sales |
2,223 |
2,059 |
8 |
% APE variable annuities |
66 |
81 |
(15) |
% APE other products |
34 |
19 |
15 |
Total new business profit |
883 |
1,230 |
(28) |
New business margin |
40% |
60% |
|
Overall new US APE sales increased to $2,223 million (2018: $2,059 million), with the proportion of general account products (fixed annuities, fixed index annuities and wholesale business) at 34 per cent (2018: 19 per cent) of new sales reflecting our intention to diversify our product mix over time to balance the overall risk profile of Jackson better. This was supported by new product launches and additional distribution initiatives. New business profit was lower at $883 million (2018: $1,230 million). Of this $(347) million reduction, $(155) million is a result of lower interest rates and other changes in economic assumptions compared with the prior period. The remainder reflects the change in product mix and other assumption change impacts.
Movement in policyholder liabilities
|
|
2019 $m |
|
2018 $m |
|
Separate account liabilities |
General account and other liabilities |
Separate account liabilities |
General account and other liabilities |
At 1 Jan |
163,301 |
73,079 |
176,578 |
67,905 |
Premiums |
12,776 |
8,200 |
14,646 |
3,967 |
Surrenders |
(12,767) |
(4,575) |
(11,746) |
(4,465) |
Maturities/deaths |
(1,564) |
(1,823) |
(1,449) |
(1,238) |
Net flows |
(1,555) |
1,802 |
1,451 |
(1,736) |
Addition for closed block of group pay-out annuities in the US |
- |
- |
- |
5,532 |
Transfers from general to separate account |
951 |
(951) |
708 |
(708) |
Investment-related items and other movements |
32,373 |
549 |
(15,436) |
2,086 |
At 31 Dec |
195,070 |
74,479 |
163,301 |
73,079 |
Overall US net flows were $0.2 billion over the year (2018: $(0.3) billion). Separate account net flows were negative at $(1.6) billion (2018: positive $1.5 billion), reflecting lower new sales of variable annuities in the period and expected higher levels of surrenders as the in-force book develops. Investment related movements reflect favourable investment performance driven by strong capital market returns. General account net flows were $1.8 billion (2018: $(1.7) billion), driven by higher new sales in the period. Total year-end policyholder liabilities were $269.5 billion (2018: $236.4 billion), with separate account liabilities at $195.1 billion and general account and other liabilities at $74.5 billion.
IFRS earnings
Profit margin analysis of US long-term insurance and asset management operations17
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
|
|
Margin |
|
Margin |
|
$m |
bps |
$m |
bps |
Spread income |
642 |
112 |
778 |
155 |
Fee income |
3,292 |
182 |
3,265 |
183 |
Insurance margin |
1,317 |
|
1,267 |
|
Other income |
26 |
|
14 |
|
Total life income |
5,277 |
|
5,324 |
|
Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
Acquisition costs |
(1,074) |
(48)% |
(1,013) |
(49)% |
Administration expenses |
(1,675) |
(68) |
(1,607) |
(69) |
DAC adjustments |
510 |
|
(152) |
|
Long-term insurance business pre-tax adjusted operating profit |
3,038 |
|
2,552 |
|
Asset management |
32 |
|
11 |
|
Adjusted operating profit from long-term business and asset management before restructuring costs |
3,070 |
|
2,563 |
|
Tax charge |
(437) |
|
(402) |
|
Adjusted operating profit after tax for the year before restructuring costs |
2,633 |
|
2,161 |
|
Non-operating profit after tax |
(3,013) |
|
(179) |
|
(Loss) profit for the year after tax before restructuring costs |
(380) |
|
1,982 |
|
Adjusted operating profit
US long-term adjusted operating profit was $3,038 million (2018: $2,552 million), and reflects the benefit of favourable market-related DAC adjustments in the period compared with unfavourable DAC adjustments in the prior period.
Fee income was marginally higher compared with the prior period, with the benefit of a 2 per cent increase in average separate account balances largely offset by a modest decline in the average fee margin17.
Spread income declined to $642 million (2018: $778 million) reflecting the combination of lower core spread income and lower income derived from swaps held for duration management purposes. The development of the core spread income was driven by the effect of lower invested asset yields and the full consolidation of the assets acquired with the John Hancock transaction towards the end of 2018, resulting in a reduction in the spread margin to 112 basis points (2018: 155 basis points).
Insurance margin primarily represents income from variable annuity guarantees and profits from legacy life businesses. This increased by 4 per cent to $1,317 million (2018: $1,267 million) mainly as a result of higher income from variable annuity guarantees.
Acquisition costs increased by 6 per cent, broadly in line with the 8 per cent increase in new APE sales. Administrative expenses increased from $(1,607) million in 2018 to $(1,675) million in 2019, primarily as a result of higher asset-based commissions. Excluding these asset-based commissions, the resulting administration expense ratio would be 33 basis points (2018: 34 basis points).
DAC adjustments, being the cost deferred on sales in the period net of amortisation of amounts deferred previously, of $510 million (2018: $(152) million) were favourable compared with the prior period, in part due to higher sales in the period. Over 2019, strong capital market returns resulted in a separate account investment performance materially in excess of that assumed within the DAC mean reversion formula which led to a favourable DAC deceleration effect of $280 million (2018: unfavourable DAC acceleration effect of $(259) million).
Non-operating items
The non-operating result was negative $(3,795) million pre-tax (2018: negative $(241) million pre-tax) and contributed to a net loss after tax of $(380) million (2018: net income $1,982 million).
In the US, Jackson provides certain guarantees on its annuity products, the value of which would typically rise when equity markets fall and long-term interest rates decline. Jackson charges fees for these guarantees which are in turn used to purchase downside protection, in particular options and futures to mitigate the effect of equity market falls. Under IFRS, accounting for the movement in the valuation of these derivatives, which are all fair valued, is asymmetrical to the movement in guarantee liabilities, which are not fair valued in all cases. Jackson designs its hedge programme to protect the economics of the business from large movements in investment markets and accepts the variability in accounting results. Non-operating losses of $(3,795) million in the year mainly reflect the effect of lower interest rates on guarantee liabilities and the impact of higher equity markets on both guarantee liabilities and associated derivatives given that the S&P 500 index ended the year 28.9 per cent higher than at the start of the year. While the resulting negative mark-to-market movements on these hedging instruments are recorded in the current year, the related increases in fee income that arise from the higher asset values managed, will be recognised and reported in future years.
In addition to the effects seen above, falling interest rates resulted in gains of $2.7 billion being recognised outside the income statement on bonds held by Jackson’s general account. In total, Jackson’s segment shareholders’ funds increased to $8,929 million (2018: $7,163 million).
EEV basis results
|
2019 $m
|
2018 $m
|
Change %
|
New business profit
|
883
|
1,230
|
(28)
|
Business in force
|
874
|
1,594
|
(45)
|
Operating profit from long-term business
|
1,757
|
2,824
|
(38)
|
Asset management
|
25
|
4
|
525
|
Operating profit from long-term business and asset management before restructuring costs
|
1,782
|
2,828
|
(37)
|
Restructuring costs
|
(5)
|
(23)
|
78
|
Non-operating loss
|
(3,802)
|
(1,695)
|
(124)
|
Profit for the year
|
(2,025)
|
1,110
|
(282)
|
|
|
|
|
Other movements (including dividends)
|
(342)
|
(654)
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in embedded value
|
(2,367)
|
456
|
|
Embedded value at 1 Jan
|
18,709
|
18,253
|
|
Embedded value at 31 Dec
|
16,342
|
18,709
|
|
% New business profit / closing embedded value
|
5%
|
7%
|
|
% Operating profit / closing embedded value
|
11%
|
15%
|
|
EEV operating profit from the long-term business reduced to $1,757 million (2018: $2,824 million) reflecting lower new business profit in the period and a reduction in the level of expected return on business in force.
During 2019, following the implementation of the NAIC’s changes to the US statutory reserve and capital framework, enhancements were made to the model used to allow for hedging within US statutory reporting. As a consequence, the Group has chosen to utilise the model for its EEV reporting to update its allowance for the long-term cost of hedging, resulting in a $(3,233) million reduction in Jackson’s EEV at the start of the year.
The reduction in expected return from business in force reflects lower period end interest rates which reduce the expected unwind, and a lower starting balance of EEV shareholders’ funds compared with the prior period. This is a function of weak equity markets in the fourth quarter of 2018, and the adoption of a new hedge model as discussed above.
The EEV non-operating loss of $(3,802) million mainly includes negative $(3,233) million from the adoption of the new hedging model (as discussed above), and negative $(1,201) million from economic effects, offset by positive $876 million from favourable investment movements.
The investment return variances are driven by the benefit of strong capital market performance in the period leading to separate account returns materially in excess of those assumed, more than offsetting hedging losses on instruments held for risk management purposes.
Economic assumption changes of $(1,201) million largely reflect the impact of lower interest rates in the period on the projected future fund growth rates for the variable annuity business. These projected lower growth rates reduce the expected growth in fund values for policyholders and hence the expected profitability for shareholders.
Overall segment embedded value ended the year at $16.3 billion (2018: $18.7 billion).
US analysis of movement in free surplus13
|
2019 $m
|
2018 $m
|
Change %
|
Operating free surplus generated from in-force life business and asset management before restructuring costs and EEV hedge modelling enhancements
|
2,567
|
2,195
|
17
|
Investment in new business
|
(539)
|
(300)
|
(80)
|
Operating free surplus generated before restructuring costs and EEV hedge modelling enhancements
|
2,028
|
1,895
|
7
|
Restructuring costs
|
(5)
|
(23)
|
78
|
Operating free surplus generated before EEV hedge modelling enhancements
|
2,023
|
1,872
|
8
|
Impact of 2019 EEV hedge modelling enhancements
|
(903)
|
-
|
-
|
Operating free surplus generated
|
1,120
|
1,872
|
(40)
|
Non-operating (loss) profit
|
(1,763)
|
(1,124)
|
|
Net flows paid to parent company
|
(525)
|
(452)
|
|
Timing differences and other items
|
185
|
(144)
|
|
Total movement in free surplus
|
(983)
|
152
|
|
Free surplus at 1 Jan
|
2,760
|
2,608
|
|
Free surplus at 31 Dec
|
1,777
|
2,760
|
|
The US in-force business generated $2,567 million (2018: $2,195 million) prior to allowing for the change to the allowance for hedging costs discussed above. This included a $355 million benefit following the integration of the John Hancock business acquired in 2018. Offsetting this increase was a higher investment in new business (up 80 per cent to $(539) million). The increase in investment in new business to $(539) million (2018: $(300) million) is a function of a higher weight of general account new sales in the period.
Operating free surplus generated14 after allowing for the impact of changes to hedge modelling was $1,120 million.
Non-operating assumptions and variances related to free surplus development were $(1,763) million (2018: $(1,124) million) and reflect higher losses on hedge instruments compared with those assumed under the new basis. Circa $395 million of these hedge losses were incurred in managing the risk profile of the business as Jackson transitioned from the previous US statutory and reserving framework to the new framework following updates made by the NAIC which is further discussed below.
Local statutory capital – Jackson National Life (Jackson)
Jackson applies the US statutory reserve and capital framework required by the NAIC and adopted the NAIC’s changes to this framework for variable annuities with effect from 31 Dec 2019. This new capital methodology incorporates a unified approach to reserving and required capital determination. In addition, with effect from 1 Oct 2019, Jackson chose not to renew its long-standing permitted practice to exclude unrealised gains on certain derivative instruments taken out to protect Jackson against declines in long-term interest rates.
After adopting this new regime, the surplus of available capital over required capital (set at 100 per cent of the Company Action Level) was $3,795 million. This equated to a risk-based capital ratio of 366 per cent (2018: 458 per cent using the previous NAIC framework). An analysis of the estimated movement in Jackson’s risk-based capital position over 2019 is set out below. Jackson continues to remain within its existing risk appetite and expects the new capital regime to result in a more stable RBC ratio than under the previous regime, in low interest rate scenarios.
|
Total available capital
|
Required capital
|
Surplus
|
Ratio
|
|
$m
|
$m
|
$m
|
%
|
1 Jan 2019
|
5,519
|
1,204
|
4,315
|
458
|
Capital generation from new business written during 2019
|
119
|
263
|
(144)
|
(75)
|
Operating capital generation from business in force at 1 Jan 2019*
|
1,406
|
(125)
|
1,531
|
141
|
Operating capital generation
|
1,525
|
138
|
1,387
|
66
|
Adoption of NAIC reforms (see above)
|
279
|
137
|
142
|
(17)
|
Other non-operating movements, including market effects and removal of the permitted practice
|
(1,577)
|
(53)
|
(1,524)
|
(104)
|
Dividends paid
|
(525)
|
-
|
(525)
|
(37)
|
31 Dec 2019
|
5,221
|
1,426
|
3,795
|
366
|
*Includes operating experience variances and the impact of John Hancock
Over the period, statutory operating capital generation of $1.4 billion increased the RBC ratio by 66 percentage points, comprising 118 percentage points ($1.2 billion) from in-force capital generation, reduced by 75 percentage points ($(0.1) billion) for the capital strain of writing new business, and 23 percentage points ($0.3 billion) of one-off benefits related to the recent John Hancock acquisition. In line with the product diversification strategy previously outlined and Jackson’s accelerated sales growth of fixed index and new fixed annuity products, the capital strain from selling non-VA products was 64 percentage points of the total 75 percentage points of new business strain.
Non-operating and other capital movements reduced the RBC ratio by 121 percentage points ($(1.4) billion) due to:
- adoption of the new capital regime at 31 Dec 2019, resulting in a one-off reduction in the RBC ratio of 17 percentage points;
- one-off hedge losses in respect of managing through the changeover to the new regime representing a 28 percentage point fall in the RBC ratio;
- an increase in deferred tax assets not admitted as statutory capital, which reduced the RBC ratio by 26 percentage points, bringing the total non-admitted DTA to $0.9 billion at 31 Dec 2019. $0.5 billion of this non-admitted DTA balance relates to hedge losses incurred in 2019 which are required to be spread over three years for tax purposes and so is expected to be carried forward to be deducted from Jackson’s taxable income in the next two years; and
- other non-operating items that reduced the RBC ratio by 50 percentage points, primarily representing variable annuity net hedge losses in the period given asymmetries between the statutory accounting basis and the economics hedged by Jackson.
During 2019 Jackson remitted $(525) million to Prudential, representing around half of Jackson’s operating capital generation in the period (excluding John Hancock effects), which reduced the RBC ratio by 37 percentage points. As previously announced, from 2020 Jackson’s remittances are expected to be more evenly spread over the calendar year than in prior periods.
In respect of the previously noted ongoing NAIC review of the C-1 bond factors in the required capital calculation, the expected implementation has been delayed to 2021 or thereafter. After adoption of the new capital regime, the estimated reduction in RBC ratio under the current proposal is circa 10 to 20 points.
Return on segment equity
US return on closing IFRS shareholders' funds.
|
2019
|
2018
|
Operating return on closing shareholders' funds (%)
|
29
|
30
|
Total comprehensive return on closing shareholders' funds (%)
|
26
|
7
|
The US operating return on segment equity was 29 per cent (2018: 30 per cent). The total comprehensive return on segment equity, including non-operating and other comprehensive income movements, described above, was 26 per cent (2018: 7 per cent).